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Racing Post Betting Top Rated RPR Improver Criteria Video\
We have seen many multiple winners in this discipline over the years and Easysland looks set to be the next. Concertista is one of those horses who just come alive at Cheltenham.
Her first visit there last year was her first start for Willie Mullins after a day break and she was only beaten a short head, this season was a little different and while she had failed to win a hurdle race in Ireland she duly bolted up in the Mares Novice by 12 lengths.
Her obvious target next year is the Mares Hurdle and that will bring stronger competition should the two wonder mares Honeysuckle and Benie Des Dieux turn up.
She is the type that may get beaten in Ireland during the season before returning to Cheltenham and this would not worry me at all.
Willie Mullins has won every running of the Mares Novice Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival but all winning runs normally come to an end and, if she stays in once piece, Queens Brook could be the mare to end that run for Gordon Elliott.
Queens Brook bolted up on her debut for Gordon in a mares bumper at Gowran Park before going on to mix it with the very best bumper horses around when finishing a close third in the Champion Bumper at this seasons festival.
She has yet to jump a hurdle in public but she has run in two-point to points, finishing third on debut and winning next time, so her jumping should not be a concern.
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The final stage of my analysis of Top Rated RPR Improvers so far was to apply all 3 filters to the original sample, namely:.
This return is significantly higher than the original ROI of 7. However, the results if we focus on runners who are running between 22 to 35 days after their previous race are even more impressive:.
As promised earlier in this article, here is the full list of selections for the sample data period,.
This is annotated to show whether the selection was clear or jointly top-rated on RPRs and it's standing in respect of Postdata information, plus the number of days since it last ran.
I will be the first to admit that this analysis has been undertaken on a relatively small sample size selections , but the results obtained have been very promising and suggest that Top Rated RPR Improvers may provide the basis of a lucrative betting strategy.
However, I feel that further data collation and analysis is required before I would commit to backing the selections, so I intend to continue to work on this project for the next couple of months to ensure that the results are in line with the original data sample.
I will also consider the viability of alternative filters e. In addition, it may be possible to implement the strategy with an alternative staking plan which will provide a significant boost to profits when compared to backing each selection to level stakes.
Finally, I will also be considering ideas for other betting strategies based on Racing Post Ratings, as I am sure that there must be more relatively low hanging fruit that can be exploited by way of relatively simple betting strategies.
Also, if you have enjoyed this blog, please feel free to share the link on social media, with your friends and contacts who are interested in horse racing.
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